Aintree Horse Betting Advice

Looks another classy Saturday and fascinating racing again and I have covered
something from every track this afternoon for the full member message.
The flat is closing down now and much of this is rubbish but there are
still some really intersting races. The National Hunt cards are getting better all the time.
It’s as least as good as the flat today and they
contribute a lot to the 16 Saturday previews but the problem yet again is the
best racing is saved for Saturday and there is simply not enough time to do it all justice.

I am having one full bet for full members today in the 2.30 at Doncaster.
Here on the free blog I am posting up one from slightly further down the full member message.
It almost made full bet status but not quite.

Aintree   1.50

For latest live odss see here

http://mathematician-betting.bestbetting.com/horse-racing/2012-10-27/aintree/13-50/betting/

Not ready yet for big field Aintree Handicap Hurdles.
I did notice from 7 past renewals that horses that came from Novice races were 0-16
so I would raise a question mark about favourite CAPE EXPRESS as well as KARTANIAN as well.
I want to oppose these. There are several that have acceptable profiles.
AGENT ARCHIE and NAMPOUR look threatsbut I was drawn to EMPIRE LEVANT first time out.
He had no chance at last years festival over 2m 5f as he doesnt stay.
He wants to race over 18f or less on good ground and on a flat track
and these are his conditions and I think he is a far better bet than the favourite here.

Selection

EMPIRE LEVANT 4/1 ( best odds guaranteed )  at stan james

 

 

 

Posted under horse racing tips

Ascot Horse Racing Tip

Some Powerful racing once again on Saturday.

It’s Champions day  at Ascot so that gets plenty of coverage and all eyes on
the mighty Frankel.

For todays free horse racing tip however we are on something at a slightly longer price than you will get about Frankel today.

 

Ascot  2.55

* This is a Group 2 race over 12f for fillies.
* Only 4 renewals since this was a Group 2 race
* There are 15 past renewals before it was upgraded
* DANCING RAIN – I dont want her first time out
* The 2010 winner managed it though so be careful
* No older horses won absent as long as SAPPHIRE
* TESTOSTERONE fails the same angles
* Tricky to read this as the race upgraded just 4 days ago
* This has been dominated recently by lightly raced horses
* Because of this I would shortlist these 3 horses
* WAS – GREAT HEAVENS  – VOW
* I have to take a guess here given the nature of the race
* WAS -  Very similar to 2001 winner Head In The Clouds

Selection

WAS Each Way is currently 9/1 at bet365betfredvictor chandler

However it is worth noting that Coral have a very strong offer today where they will give you a win stake refunded as a free bet (of up to £100) if you back a winner in the first four races at Ascot today IF frankel wins.  See Coral site for full terms.  You may even find opportunities to back at Coral and lay on Betfair to provide zero or negligable risk to capital but put yourself in the position of a £100 free bet credit upside.

 

Posted under horse racing tips

This post was written by Horse Betting Blog on October 20, 2012

Racing Tip For York

York  4.55

* This is a Handicap over 18f for 0-81 rated horses
* FORK HANDLES – Very weak profile coming from 10f
* I’d also argue she might not stay this far
* MASHAARI – Looks the wrong kind of 3yo
* No 3yo won with under 7 runs and he has 4
* No 3yo won absent 7 weeks or more and he’s off 80 days
* Coming from a 12f maiden I wasnt keen
* BECAUSEWECAN – No exposed horse came from 13f or less
* He hasnt been running well enough to ignore that
* GENEROUS DREAM is a 4yo filly with just 7 runs
* Without more backclass I wasnt sold on her chances
* All similar 4yo fillies had at least 13 runs
* TINY TEMPER is woefully underraced from a filly
* Especially coming from 13f and she looks all wrong
* VALID REASON looks underraced this season
* HAWRIDGE STAR has fitness issues
* Not keen he is 10 with 36 days off
* HAWRIDGE STAR only has 1 run since July
* FRENCH HOLLOW – Finished 3rd in this race last year
* I tipped him each way but knew there was a stamina doubt
* His sire still hasnt had a winner over this far
* The stamina doubt remains especially in this ground
* This year his profile is not as good
* I couldnt rule him out though
* CAPE TRIBULATION is 8 absent 125 days
* Thats a massive absence for an 8yo
* Looked at all handicaps for similar types
* Leslingtaylor did it (2010) over 10f
* European Dream (2011) did it over 9f
* None aged 8 or more have over this far yet
* RIVER DRAGON won easily over hurdles last time
* I made him my best bet that day
* I dont have a problem with his profile

Selection

Each Way RIVER DRAGON 5/1 victor chandler

 

 

 

Posted under horse racing tips

This post was written by Horse Betting Blog on October 13, 2012

Newmarket Horse Racing Tip

Newmarket  5.35

* This is a 0-105 Handicap over a Mile
* I looked at all similar Class 2 handicaps
* I cant find any winners absent a long time after a recent run
* BE PERFECT – Surprised if he wins with 1 run since March
* MASTEROFTHEROLLS has the same problem
* RASSAM doesnt interest me with 1 run since Febuary
* AXIOM – Weak profile aged 8 and 1 run since June
* TOO MUCH TROUBLE doesnt offer enough
* MOONE4S MY NAME is too unorthodox and unmatchable
* Shes a filly from a Listed race and none are like her
* BEACON LODGE – Not far away but not quite right
* ATLANTIC SPORT – I just gave him the verdict

Each Way ATLANTIC SPORT 9/1
CoralPaddy PowerTote & more

 

 

Posted under horse racing tips

This post was written by Horse Betting Blog on October 6, 2012