This Saturday I have a sample from the analysis section of the Full Member Service

NB This is not a full account bet

DONCASTER  3:10

TOTESPORT NOVEMBER HANDICAP (C2) (3yo+)  1m4f

5/1 Electrolyser, 11/2 Presvis, 8/1 The Betchworth Kid, 10/1 Menwaal, 12/1 First Avenue,  Magicalmysterytour, 14/1 Tastahil, 16/1 Night Crescendo, 20/1 Group Captain,  Tropical Strait,  Young Mick, 25/1 Ajaan,  Hits Only Vic,  Mull Of Dubai, 33/1 Carte Diamond,  CelticSpirit,  Cold Quest,  Ladies Best, 50/1 Acropolis,  Big Robert,  Dunaskin, Greek Envoy,  Wicked Daze.

I have some detailed trends in the November Handicap. I will go through this field quickly and finish off with some horses that are strong statistically and that make any shortlist. I dont want the Topweight PRESVIS in this race. I think his weight is a problem. He fails a serious number of trends in the race not least as a lighter
raced older horse and He is up in trip as well and he simply is not the type  that has won this race and win lose or draw on my angles based on the last 20 renewals of this race PRESVIS had a very poor profile in my view. NIGHT CRESCENDO only fails one of my trends in that no exposed horse or indeed any 4 year old won last
time out and whilst there will be many horses with weaker profiles I didnt want to give him  the benefit of the doubt. YOUNG MICK is in exactly the same boat failing some similar angles. MENWAAL doesnt have the correct preperation for me and has plenty against him and I felt MAGICALMYSTERYTOUR also had a bad profile  and failed several important angles. There are many of these that just dont have good profiles. You will see from the list of trends that its very important to come into this race in form and running well. So many of these dont do that and I would include the following –

BIG ROBERT – CARTE DIAMOND – TROPICAL STRAIT
GREEK ENVOY- GROUP CAPTAIN – HITS ONLY VIC
AJAAN – LADIES BEST – MULL OF DUBAI –  CELTIC SPIRIT
WICKED DAZE

COLD QUEST has a horrible profile. Both ACROPOLIS and
DUNASKIN are  too old. TASTAHIL is just the wrong kind
of 4 year old in this just like the favourite is. Its very hard to judge THE BETCHWORTH KID as he has an unusual profile but I cant find a horse that won this or a similar race at this time of year and my impression is that if a 3 year old was going to come back from a 14f race it would be both lighter raced than he is and would have run better in that race. That said I do think THE BETCHWORTH KID is one of the more interesting runners and I think he is one of the best 3 or 4 runners in the race I feel the same about FIRST AVENUE as well.  FIRST AVENUE  came out quite similar to the 2007 and 1992 winners and the only
angle he fails is a very forgiveable one. Whether he has the resolutionor not I dont know and I dont like cheekpieces on my bet in a race such as this.

STRONGEST PROFILE

ELECTROLYSER

I think this horse has the best profile. He has just 4 runs but he is a very similar type to 2004 winner  CARTE DIAMOND  who also had 4 runs and interestingly came from the same Leicester 3 year old handicap as ELECTROLYSER does. Trip and Ground are fine and I think he has a great chance off a light weight.

Current Best price at time of blog post 4/1 at centrebet and ladbrokes

Posted under horse racing tips