We are off to Newmarket this afternoon for our free blog horse racing tip.

Also note the post at link below however which provides an example of the new format full member message.

It is a good example of how free blog and full member messages differ and will provide you with a much better feel for the full service proper.

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Newmarket  3.40

For live market odds see

http://mathematician-betting.bestbetting.com/horse-racing/2012-11-03/newmarket/15-40/betting/

* The Ben Marshall Stakes is a listed race over a Mile.
* There are 13 past renewals of this rce
* Every past winner with a rating was rated 100 or more
* MIA MADONNA – DIVERTING – MRS GREELEY fail that badly
* FIRE SHIP is only rated 97 and could just lack the class
* No past winner came from a 3yo handicap like him
* It was only a Class 3 race and that may not be enough
* FIRE SHIP – I wont be surprised if he is placed though
* FRENCH NAVY has had just 3 runs this season
* I looked at older horses aged 4 or more and they all had more runs
* I see him underraced this year over an inadequate trip
* He hasnt progressed after a nasty injury last year
* QUICK WIT comes from a good trial race
* He was beaten too far in that for comfort
* No horses has won this after a poor last run
* SWEDISH SAILOR only has 2 runs and 1 run this season
* Coming down in trip is a big worry with 1 run this year
* The only winners down in trip all ahd 4 + runs that season
* SWEDISH SAILOR falls short for me
* Horses coming from 7f races have a poor record
* 1n 13 renewals horses from 7f or shorter were 1-66
* That winner had more than the hint off fluke about it
* I’d argue coming from 7f is not a good thing in this race
* RED JAZZ does that and I am unconvinced about him
* Not sure he likes a field as big as this or likes this 8f trip
* RED JAZZ is exposed and only 1 of the 13 winners had 20 + runs
* DANCE AND DANCE is also exposed and comes from 7f
* 12 of the 13 winners were unexposed and ran at 8f or more last time
* DANCE AND DANCE and RED JAZZ are exposed and from 7f
* Neither are like any past winners of this race
* ENTANGLE is impossible to read with no English form
* He’s exposed and I dont see him as any more than a saver
* TRADE COMMISSIONER looks the best bet to me
* I like him as a 4yo thats unexposed
* The bonus is he comes from the Darley Stakes
* Thats the best trial race providing several past winners

Selection

TRADE COMMISSIONER 4/1 Each Way
4/1 in many spots such as best odds guaranteed
bookmakers bet365 william hill Vc Stan James

Posted under horse racing tips