York  4.55

* This is a Handicap over 18f for 0-81 rated horses
* FORK HANDLES – Very weak profile coming from 10f
* I’d also argue she might not stay this far
* MASHAARI – Looks the wrong kind of 3yo
* No 3yo won with under 7 runs and he has 4
* No 3yo won absent 7 weeks or more and he’s off 80 days
* Coming from a 12f maiden I wasnt keen
* BECAUSEWECAN – No exposed horse came from 13f or less
* He hasnt been running well enough to ignore that
* GENEROUS DREAM is a 4yo filly with just 7 runs
* Without more backclass I wasnt sold on her chances
* All similar 4yo fillies had at least 13 runs
* TINY TEMPER is woefully underraced from a filly
* Especially coming from 13f and she looks all wrong
* VALID REASON looks underraced this season
* HAWRIDGE STAR has fitness issues
* Not keen he is 10 with 36 days off
* HAWRIDGE STAR only has 1 run since July
* FRENCH HOLLOW – Finished 3rd in this race last year
* I tipped him each way but knew there was a stamina doubt
* His sire still hasnt had a winner over this far
* The stamina doubt remains especially in this ground
* This year his profile is not as good
* I couldnt rule him out though
* CAPE TRIBULATION is 8 absent 125 days
* Thats a massive absence for an 8yo
* Looked at all handicaps for similar types
* Leslingtaylor did it (2010) over 10f
* European Dream (2011) did it over 9f
* None aged 8 or more have over this far yet
* RIVER DRAGON won easily over hurdles last time
* I made him my best bet that day
* I dont have a problem with his profile

Selection

Each Way RIVER DRAGON 5/1 Victor Chandler

Posted under horse racing tips