Saturday Racing Message

This free blog poses a few conundrums for us.

If you recall back in August we mentioned a change from our old style very select Account Bets to a more frequent style of bet we call the Daily Recommendation.

These have been doing very well for full members of mathematician betting.

Return on investment to date is about 140%

ie for every £1000 staked you would have gotten £1400 back for a net profit of £400

See old sample at http://www.horse-betting-blog.co.uk/horse-racing-tips/horse-betting-message-for-saturday/

With paying clients to consider and respect however we can not put these up here for free  every weekend.

What we post here is often the second class stuff from deeper in the message.

With several double digit winners here however it is second class for us but still worth you noting.

It does leave us with the conundrum however of we want to impress you so you will join but at the same time you are not seeing the best as we have to respect our normal clients.

Not quite sure what the best solution is but for now all I can do is suggest you join up as a full member.

You can always call on the refund guarantee if you change your mind.

Hopefully you will stay long term however when you realise you have found a good thing.

This week my chores involved asking two members who joined for a year about a year ago to renew. Both were very keen to do so and joined up for another year. Its a hard thing to measure a service on but if there were some official means to measure a service on how happy clients were to renew long term subscriptions.. Mathematician Betting would score very highly indeed.

We still have clients who joined us first over five years ago !

We do have right now in the full member area a proper Daily Recommendation for today .

On to todays free blog race however.

Its an interesting choice with a  bit of market support for it since given out to full members earlier this morning.

CHEPSTOW 4.10

Totesport 0800 221 221 Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle
(Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+)  2m4f

4/1 Duke Of Lucca, 4/1 Pistolet Noir, 6/1 Working Title
7/1 Restless Harry, 8/1 Sir Harry Ormesher, 10/1 Tullamore Dew 12/1 Any Given Day, 12/1 Pickamus, 14/1 Benbane Head
16/1 Mohanad, 20/1 Dantari, 20/1 Mad Moose
25/1 Chief Yeoman, 33/1 Hills Of Aran.

* This is a 2m 4f Handicap Hurdle in Listed Class
* There has been 18 renewals of this race

This race has been dominated by seasonal debutants. Only 3
of the 18 winners had run this season. Horses that had done
that but who failed to win this year were 0-43 so DANTARI
ANY GIVEN DAY -MAD MOOSE and Hills OF ARAN do
not appeal. WORKING TITLE has won this season. Horses
doing that coming from 2m 4f or further have a weak 0-35
record. Horses it aged 6 or more were just 1-38 and the sole winner had a loss less weight and I see WORKING TITLE as unsafe. Exposed horses like CHIEF YEOMAN are opposable.
No horse won first time out from a handicap chase which is
a problem for PICKAMUS and Henry Daly doesnt look like
a trainer to trust with debutants and he might need this race. There were 2 winners aged 4 but both were lightly raced and I did not think MOHANAD was the right type or 4 year old. TULLAMORE DEW is a little bit exposed for a debutant and  may just have a bit too much weight for his age.

* PISTOLET NOIR – 1 similar winner but unsafe
* DUKE OF LUCCA – Good profile aside from his weight
* Horses with 11st 5lbs or more are 1-44 in this race
* Thats a big worry for DUKE OF LUCCA
* SIR HARRY ORMESHER – His age and weight are problems
* RESTLESS HARRY – shortlistable but a nasty weight

SELECTION

BENBANE HEAD has a good a profile as any and looks
a bit of value. There were many Novice Hurdle Seasonal
debutants like him with Grade 1 form and a light weight
and many of the better profiles in the race have weights
that are hard to carry in this race so he does appeal as a
decent price in an open race.

Was about 8/1 earlier when given to full members

Now 13/2 at Tote

Posted under horse racing tips

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