The Law Of Sod

The law of sod came into play last Saturday.
If you recall I told you that full members got three selections
at short , medium and long odds.

The short priced horse won.
The long priced horse advised each way at 25/1
landed a place.

As the law of sod would dictate I opted for the medium
priced selection here on the free horse betting blog
and that one only managed third.

I have said it many times before however.
The full service is the place to be.
There you get everything and all through the week
as opposed to just a small random sample.

With full members concern my top priority
I am also obligated to most often duck from posting here in public
what I feel is my best advice for the day.

The service has been on fire over the last week.
In addition to the above last Saturday  we have had good
priced winners as follows.

LLAMADAS              BSP 12.83

Join the full service.
That is the spot to be.
A strong and simple no refund guarantee is there
to protect you should you later change your mind.

Moving on to today

My strongest option for full members today
actually runs in the 2.25 at Cheltenham.
It is there in the member area now if you decide to join up.

For the free blog however I have up one of the other previews.
I have bet this myself so don’t think I judge it complete rubbish.
The 2.25 I have staked heavier however.

Good luck if following

Cheltenham  1.15

5/1 Katenko, 11/2 Bless The Wings, 11/2 Bold Sir Brian
8/1 Nadiya De La Vega, 9/1 Pacha Du Polder, Our Mick
12/1 Shoegazer, 14/1 Chance Du Roy
14/1 Fruity O´rooney, 14/1 Tartak, 16/1 Frontier Spirit
16/1 Quantitativeeasing, 16/1 Quincy Des Pictons
20/1 Poquelin, 25/1 Tullamore Dew, 40/1 Hell´s Bay.

This is a Graded Handicap Chase over 2m 5f. There
are 13 of these Cheltenham races to consider. The
record of horses aged 6-7 in this race is poor so I
would be just a bit wary to bet any that age. Only
last year we saw a 7yo win this but we now know
the horse (The Giant Bolster) was throw in off such
a light weight as he ended up 2nd in a Cheltenham
Gold Cup. PACHA DU POLDER has to go as there
was no male 6yo winner. OUR MICK has to go as
a 7yo seasonal debutant. The record of 7 year olds
puts me off KATENKO and I dont see why the drop
in trip will do him any favours either. He won beyond
3m last time and down to 2m 5f I dont want him in
a race his age group struggle. BOLD SIR BRIAN is
also a 7 year old. I do not see a good enough case
for him when he has 50 days absence and has to
carry a higher weight than almost all past winners.
He has to prove he can handle the track and he is
capable of making mistakes. POQUELIN is highly
unlikely to defy his weight. I would be scpetical of
the horses aged 11 and more. TULLAMORE DEW
and HELL´S BAY look too old. TARTAK hasnt had
a really good run in far too long and I cant bet him.
QUANTITATIVEEASING has two poor runs so far
this year. Half of me thinks he’s an automatic fail
because of that but I can see him running better
but not running his best until the festival. It might
be a Cheltenham prep race. FRONTIER SPIRIT’s
had two bad experiences at this track and I think
he lacks backclass to defy his career high mark.
QUINCY DES PICTONS isn’t handicapped to win.
In last years race CHANCE DU ROY was 5th but
he was well beaten and made mistakes. He also
had 13lbs less weight and a better preparation as
well. I would give FRUITY O´ROONEY a chance
based on his Cheltenham Festival 2nd last year
the risks of course being thats his main aim this
year. I do see him as a positive though.

* BLESS THE WINGS – Shortlistable on his profile
* I’d have liked a shorter absence given the choice

* SHOEGAZER – I think he has a decent chance
* He had an absence last time out as he was gelded
* I made him a negative last time when coming 2nd
* He should be fitter and I like his chances here
* My only real worry is he has been summer jumping
* Thats not the norm for winners of this
* Because of that I make him a PLACE saver


NADIYA DE LA VEGA is a 7yo mare. Initially I was a
bit concerned that because she fell early last time she
hadnt raced for too long. When I looked at mares with
absences I changed my mind and see this as a plus.
This race has been won by Makounji and Lady Cricket
both mares with similar absences and the former Fell
last time as well. I have my doubts about 7yo’s in this
race but as she’s a mare I am passing her as fine as
a younger mare has won this with an absence. There
is no doubt her Paddy Power form is high class. She
has been left on the same mark and I like her best.



SHOEGAZER 11/4 Place Bet

The above are rough market odds when I sent my
daily report out to full members  earlier.
You may check live odds at the link below





Posted under horse racing tips

This post was written by Horse Betting Blog on January 26, 2013

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