Cheltenham Festival
Novice Handicap Chase Stat
Today I want to give you a statistic to bear in mind
for next week’s Handicap Chases. That’s any and
every Handicap Chase except the Novice Handicap.
I have examined all Handicap Chases run in the
last 15 years and more. Because it involves every
handicap it’s a solid trend.
* All Handicap Chases at the Cheltenham Festival
* I looked at horses from a Novice Handicap Chase
* All 19 that tried to do this Lost with these results
* 4 6 8 F PU 10 PU 12 7 9 13 F 13 7 PU PU 12 14 8
* None of the 19 horses Placed 1-2-3 in these races
Many people think you want a lightly raced chaser
thats improving from Novice Company and there is
no problem at all with that sort of horse. However
whilst many festival handicap chases are won by
horses that come from Novice Chases there hasn’t
yet been one that has been won by a horse that is
coming from a Novice Handicap. Admittedly only
19 of these tried but they all finished 4th or worse.
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There will be a fair bit of action this weekend to look forward
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Best Wishes
Guy Ward
www.mathematician-betting.co.uk
PS I will back tomorrow with further free Cheltenham nuggets
of info.
Not quite sure what with yet but it might be a look at an
individual Cheltenham race from a stats and trends point of
view.
Posted under Major Horse Races
This post was written by Horse Betting Blog on March 7, 2013