C h e s t e r  3.00

5/4 Na Zdorovie, 9/2 Fa4iz, 13/2 Forest Edge, 8/1 Finbar
12/1 Sir Trevor, 12/1 Sugarpine, 16/1 Always Eager
16/1 Cades Reef, Rapid Heat Lad, 25/1 Amadeus Wolfe Tone
28/1 Gabrial4s Princess, 28/1 No Plan B
40/1 King Of Paradise, 40/1 Lord Franklin.

Barry Hills with a great record in this race and on his
last day as a trainer will want to win on his favourite
track with NA ZDOROVIE. It would be fitting with a
horse whose translation means Good Health. I think
he will win with her. She has twice missed the break.
For all we know that was deliberate to set up a sweet
finale for the Trainer. There are a handful of dangers
but you would have thought some would have been a
lot shorter in the market and some apear weak. I am
expecting NA ZDOROVIE to win. She’s be a lovely
each way double for those liking such controversial
bets but I still see NA ZDOROVIE as a decent win bet.

A shortish price however at 5/6 Hills

Posted under horse racing tips

Chester 3.20

BENEDICTE  £50 Win Bet 7/4 +
( 2/1 available at betfred )

CRABBIES ALCOHOLIC GINGER BEER
MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES(CLASS 4) (3yo+)  1m2f75y

9/4 Crazy Chris, 5/2 Benedicte, 3/1 Nesayem, 6/1 Amroth,
12/1 Triple Cee, 50/1 Sacco D’Oro, 66/1 Amber Glow.

This is an all aged Maiden for fillies. There has been about 29 races like this at this time of year. Unraced horses were 0-46 so SACCO D´ORO is rejected. I dont want any horse beaten 10 lengths or more last time. They’ve a 1-27 record. AMBER GLOW would’ve failed that in a bumper last time out. Its very Interesting that 28 of the 29 winners were 3  year olds. Older horses have a poor 1-47 record. I’d worry CRAZY CHRIS is an older horse and that he has to give 6lbs to 4 Three year olds. It wouldnt be a surprise if one was too strong for her. The following is interesting

* September-October has 380 all aged maidens
* Thats 380 maidens at every and any distance
* Older Fillies like CRAZY CHRIS have a 6-391 record
* Those with under 4 career runs are 0-188
* Those with under 2 runs that season are 0-136

Those stats are not as great as they sound as many of
them were not fancied but it raises great doubts about
CRAZY CHRIS’s ability to give weight away and I’d
be looking for an alternative. AMROTH doesnt have
any major flaws I can see. BENEDICTE was expensive
and you can bet she wasnt at her best last time out and
had a quiet introduction. I don’t want TRIPLE CEE as
horses from 3yo handicaps were 0-24 and she comes
down from 13f to 10f and I see her as unsafe. I would
look to AMROTH as one of the potential winners but
BENEDICTE looked quite an interesting runner. Very
well bred half sister to Amadeus Wolf and I think she
will improve a lot on her second run. NESAYEM  sets
the benchmark coming from Handicaps rated 67. She
sets a reasonable standard and will be able to draw on
her experience here. What draws me to BENEDICTE
is the fact NESAYEM whilst attractive statistically
couldnt beat Pyrus Time two runs ago at Lingfield
and that horse has a 0-14 record and was beaten in
a seller yesterday and is exposed and I think I should
give the chance to BENEDICTE to improve past her.

Posted under horse racing tips