Lincoln Handicap Stats

We sent these out to full members earlier in the week
to assist any who fancied a bit of an ante post dabble on the Lincoln Handicap.

I’d describe these as “profile of the race” style stats or “major race trends”.

 
Knowing form traits that past winners exhibited or form traits
that produced mainly past losers is an obvious useful tool to have
when short listing contenders for a possible bet this year.

And if you want one point of my tuppence worth of general
good advice to using such major race trends that may be ..

Don’t fall into the trap of looking for the horse with
the most positive form trait ticks as the only possible bet.

In the long run you are after value.

A Form tick perfection horse can be everyone’s
obvious choice and too short a price.

Be happy to accept a degree of imperfection
when you feel it compensated for by odds.

 

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Ante Post Statistics

Lincoln Handicap

Age of recent winners
4 6 5 5 6 6 4 4 4 5 6 4 4 4 6 5 5 5
Horses aged 7 + have a 1-86 record
All 59 that ran in the last 12 years beaten

 

March-April
Class 2 handicaps on turf over 8f
There are 88 of these races since 2000
Horses aged 7 +  had a miserable 2-220 record
None of them had form in Group races before

 

Horses aged 6 + have a 10-426 record
The vast majority were seasonal debutants.
6 year olds running within 90 days
Have a worrying 1-213 record

 

4 year olds won 8 of the last 18 renewals
Horses aged 4 are best with 4-20 starts
Most are untested in pattern races
Fillies aged 4 are 0-7 in the last 17 years
4 year olds are best with a long absence
Last years 4yo winner ran in Meydan in February
No 4yo came from a 3yo handicap
No 4yo  lost 10 + lengths last time

 

No 5yo winners ran in an English Group race before
The Lincoln winner rarely has English Group form
There are 124 that tried and only one managed to do it
Last years winner did the first since the 2004 winner

 

Horses with under 4 runs are 0-8
Horses with 21 + runs won 8 of the last 23 renewals
6 of the 8 seasonal debutants
None of them carried 9st 5lbs or more
None of them raced in Group Class before

 

8 Past winner ran recently on the All weather
4 of them came from Dubai
4 ran within the previous 15 days
These 4 horses waged 5 5 4 5
None were beaten more than 4 lengths last time
They all Placed in a Class 2 handicap last time
None came from 7f or shorter
They all had 8st 11lbs or less

 

No winners came from a Class 4-5-6 handicap
Horses from 6f races won in 1994 and 1995
Both seasonal debutants aged 4 or 5
Both had 8st 6lbs or less
Horses from 9f or more won 5 of the last 12 renewals
No horse has won from a 3 year old handicap
You want a horse from a handicap last time
5lbs and 7lbs claimers are 0-36 in recent years

 

 

 

 

 

Posted under Major Horse Races

This post was written by Horse Betting Blog on March 31, 2017

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